BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Burlington Notre Dame

Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (17-2) Overall: (22-4) Overall Strength =   79.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/16/2012 Home    W *  84.95  65  33   1A  45 (12-11) Danville                1.14 *   30.86                      
  2 11/19/2012 Away    L    77.13  34  69   3A   1 (25- 2) Davenport Assumption   -6.68 *  -28.32                      
  3 11/20/2012 Away    W *  78.86  74  22   2A  95 ( 2-21) West Burlington        -4.96 *   56.96                      
  4 11/27/2012 Away    W *  88.54  61  18   1A  73 ( 8-14) Fort Madison Trinity    4.72 *   38.28                      
  5 11/30/2012 Home    W *  93.82  92  37   2A  88 ( 9-14) Eldon Cardinal         10.00 *   45.00                      
  6 12/04/2012 Away    W *  74.50  73  10   1A 117 ( 1-23) Farmington Harmony     -9.32 *   72.32                      
  7 12/07/2012 Away    W *  75.04  73  71   3A  28 (20- 4) Central Lee            -8.78     10.78                      
  8 12/08/2012 Home    W *  99.10  69  28   2A  47 (17- 6) Keosauqua Van Buren    15.28 *   25.72                      
  9 12/14/2012 Away    W *  89.37  91  44   1A  88 ( 7-15) New London              5.55 *   41.45                      
 10 12/18/2012 Away    W *  78.76  63  40   1A  45 (12-11) Danville               -5.06 *   28.06                      
 11 12/21/2012 Home    W *  83.05  84  25   2A  95 ( 2-21) West Burlington        -0.76 *   59.76                      
 12 01/05/2013 Home    W    72.62  64  43   4A  45 ( 4-18) Fort Madison          -11.20 *   32.20                      
 13 01/08/2013 Home    W *  90.73  76  28   1A  73 ( 8-14) Fort Madison Trinity    6.92 *   41.08                      
 14 01/11/2013 Away    W *  92.63  91  40   2A  88 ( 9-14) Eldon Cardinal          8.81 *   42.19                      
 15 01/15/2013 Home    W *  87.69  89  10   1A 117 ( 1-23) Farmington Harmony      3.87 *   75.13                      
 16 01/18/2013 Home    L *  65.23  69  74   3A  28 (20- 4) Central Lee           -18.59     13.59                      
 17 01/19/2013 Away    W *  82.91  62  40   2A  47 (17- 6) Keosauqua Van Buren    -0.91     22.91                      
 18 01/22/2013 Home    W    87.01  66  44   4A  37 (11-13) Fairfield               3.19     18.81                      
 19 01/25/2013 Home    W *  77.57  80  42   1A  88 ( 7-15) New London             -6.25 *   44.25                      
 20 01/28/2013 Home    W    78.31  83  80 1 4A  26 (12-11) Keokuk                 -5.51      8.51                      
 21 02/01/2013 Home    L *  52.28  40  74   3A   9 (21- 2) Mediapolis            -31.53     -2.47                      
 22 02/12/2013 Home    W *  92.95  75  35   1A  45 (12-11) Danville                9.14 *   30.86                      
 23 02/15/2013 Home    W * 113.23  90  38   1A  24 (18- 6) Winfield-Mt Union      29.41     22.59                      
 24 02/18/2013 Neutral W    99.27  81  39   1A  34 (10-16) Lisbon                 15.46 *   26.54                      
 25 02/25/2013 Neutral W    96.27  60  43   1A   3 (23- 3) Colo NESCO             12.46      4.54                      
 26 02/28/2013 Neutral L    67.42  53  76   1A   1 (26- 2) Central Lyon          -16.40     -6.60                      
      Averages              83.82  71.5 42.4

Best game:  113.23 = 52 point win over Winfield-Mt Union
Worst game:  52.28 = 34 point loss to Mediapolis
Team stdev:  12.56